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PROPERTY ANALYTICS

Climate Risk in Caversham, Western Australia

Caversham, Western Australia· UNKNOWN
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Caversham faces increasing risks from heatwaves and bushfires due to climate change. Flooding is also a concern due to its proximity to the Swan River. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather events in the future.

Overall Risk Score

5.5/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.0
Bushfire
6.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
1.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

7.0/10

Caversham is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

8.0

2050

9.0

Data source

flood Risk

4.0/10

Caversham faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from the Swan River. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially leading to more frequent and severe flood events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine flooding
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.0

2050

6.0

Data source

coastal Risk

1.0/10

Caversham is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from the coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

6.0/10

Caversham has a notable bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hotter, drier conditions associated with climate change are likely to exacerbate this risk, increasing the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Proximity to bushland

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

8.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to the rising risk of bushfires and floods.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
  • 4.Consider the long-term climate risks when making a purchase decision.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Swan River
Elevation Range
5-15 meters
Flood Zone
Areas near the Swan River are prone to flooding.

Historical flood data indicates that properties close to the Swan River have experienced flooding in the past.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland reserves
Planning Overlay
DFES Bushfire Prone Area Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The area is designated as bushfire prone, requiring specific building standards for new constructions.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

The number of days exceeding 35°C is projected to increase significantly in the coming decades.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
20 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2010
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding in low-lying areas near the Swan River.

Source
2011
bushfireMinor

A bushfire near Caversham caused smoke haze and required firefighting efforts.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in record-breaking temperatures and increased demand for emergency services.

Source
2022
floodModerate

Significant rainfall led to localized flooding and road closures in Caversham.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood4.04.5(+0.5)5.0(+1.0)
bushfire6.07.0(+1.0)8.0(+2.0)
heat7.08.0(+1.0)9.0(+2.0)
coastal1.01.01.0

By 2030, Caversham is projected to experience a noticeable increase in heatwave frequency and intensity, along with a heightened risk of bushfires. Flooding risk will also slightly increase. Coastal risks remain low.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Develop a community heatwave plan

Immediate

Establish cooling centers and provide support for vulnerable residents during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Implement bushfire mitigation measures

Near-term

Clear vegetation around properties and develop evacuation plans.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Upgrade drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Improve drainage systems to reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Promote water conservation

Long-term

Encourage residents to conserve water to reduce strain on water resources during droughts.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Caversham's Climate Risk Profile

Caversham, located in Western Australia, is projected to experience a range of climate change impacts, with heatwaves and bushfires posing the most significant threats. Rising average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves will increase the risk of heat stress, particularly for vulnerable populations. The suburb's proximity to bushland also makes it susceptible to bushfires, which are expected to become more frequent and intense under hotter, drier conditions.

Flooding is another concern for Caversham, primarily due to its location near the Swan River. Increased rainfall intensity associated with climate change could lead to more frequent and severe flood events. While coastal hazards are not a major concern due to the suburb's inland location, residents should still be aware of the potential impacts of climate change on the region as a whole.

Adapting to these changes will require a multi-faceted approach, including measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, improve building design to withstand extreme heat, and enhance community preparedness for bushfires and floods. Protecting vulnerable populations and ensuring access to resources during extreme weather events will also be crucial.

Long-term planning should consider the potential impacts of climate change on infrastructure, natural resources, and community well-being. By taking proactive steps to adapt to these changes, Caversham can build a more resilient and sustainable future.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · DFES

Local Government Resources

City of Swan

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Caversham?

The main climate change risks for Caversham are heatwaves, bushfires, and flooding.

How will climate change affect property values in Caversham?

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to the increasing risk of extreme weather events.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Caversham?

Stay hydrated, seek shelter in air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

How can I protect my property from bushfires in Caversham?

Clear vegetation around your property, install fire-resistant building materials, and develop an evacuation plan.

Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Caversham?

You can find more information on the City of Swan website, the Department of Fire and Emergency Services website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.

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