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PROPERTY ANALYTICS

Climate Risk Profile: Howard Springs, NT

Howard Springs, Northern Territory· UNKNOWN
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Howard Springs faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are expected to increase with climate change. While coastal risks are minimal, residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

5.5/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
7.0
Heat
5.0
Coastal
1.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

5.0/10

Howard Springs experiences high temperatures, particularly during the wet season build-up. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

flood Risk

6.0/10

Howard Springs faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and overflowing waterways. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

1.0/10

Howard Springs is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast
  • ·Elevation

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

7.0/10

Howard Springs has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland and dry vegetation. Hot, dry conditions during the dry season exacerbate the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Dry climate
  • ·High fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price stagnation or decline.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
  • 3.Obtain insurance quotes and understand policy coverage.
  • 4.Consider the long-term climate risks and potential impacts on property value.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Black Jungle Creek
Elevation Range
20-40 meters
Flood Zone
Areas near Black Jungle Creek are prone to flooding.

Local drainage infrastructure may be insufficient to handle extreme rainfall events.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland areas
Planning Overlay
Bushfire prone area overlay applies
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Residents should maintain fire breaks and clear vegetation around their homes.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
15 days

Elderly and those with chronic illnesses are particularly vulnerable to heat stress.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
25 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2012
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in Howard Springs, affecting some residential areas.

Source
2018
bushfireModerate

A bushfire near Howard Springs threatened properties, requiring residents to be on alert.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

Howard Springs experienced a prolonged heatwave with temperatures exceeding 35°C for several days.

Source
2023
floodMinor

Minor flooding occurred due to heavy rainfall, causing some road closures.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood6.06.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire7.07.07.0
heat5.05.5(+0.5)6.0(+1.0)
coastal1.01.01.0

By 2030, Howard Springs is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk, primarily driven by more frequent and intense flooding and heatwaves. Bushfire risk is expected to remain relatively stable.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade local drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Mitigation Measures

Immediate

Implement bushfire mitigation strategies, including fuel reduction burns and community education programs.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Heatwave Preparedness Plan

Near-term

Develop and implement a heatwave preparedness plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Long-term

Conduct community awareness programs to educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Strengthen Building Codes

Long-term

Update building codes to ensure new constructions are resilient to flooding, bushfires, and extreme heat.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Howard Springs's Climate Risk Profile

Howard Springs, located in the Northern Territory, is susceptible to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding due to heavy rainfall, bushfires during the dry season, and increasing heatwave frequency and intensity.

Flooding is a significant concern, with potential for property damage and disruption to infrastructure. The risk is exacerbated by urban development and climate change, leading to more intense rainfall events. Residents should be aware of flood warnings and have evacuation plans in place.

Bushfire risk is high due to the suburb's proximity to bushland. The dry season creates ideal conditions for bushfires, and residents should maintain their properties to reduce fuel loads and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a health risk to vulnerable populations. Residents should take precautions to stay cool during heatwaves, such as drinking plenty of water and seeking air-conditioned environments.

While coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location, the overall climate risk profile suggests a need for proactive adaptation measures to protect the community and its assets.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NT Emergency Services · Litchfield Council

Local Government Resources

Litchfield Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Howard Springs?

The main climate risks in Howard Springs are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase with climate change.

How can I prepare for flooding in Howard Springs?

You can prepare for flooding by staying informed about flood warnings, having an evacuation plan, and protecting your property with sandbags and other flood mitigation measures.

What should I do during a bushfire in Howard Springs?

During a bushfire, stay informed about fire updates, follow evacuation orders, and protect your property by clearing vegetation and maintaining fire breaks.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave in Howard Springs?

During a heatwave, stay cool by drinking plenty of water, seeking air-conditioned environments, and avoiding strenuous activities during the hottest part of the day.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Howard Springs?

You can find more information about climate change in Howard Springs from the Northern Territory Government, Litchfield Council, and the Bureau of Meteorology.

Is my property insurance likely to increase due to climate change?

Potentially, yes. Insurance premiums in Howard Springs may increase due to the increased risk of flooding and bushfires associated with climate change. It's best to check with your insurer.

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